TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c9,013$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,669.971,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c8,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,92038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c6,779$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992.042,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c5,575$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.774,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c5,111$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.746,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes31c4,124$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.9817042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c2,666$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.2569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No74c2,236$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6554555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c1,759$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.162,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c1,755$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No75c1,600$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No48c1,524$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.9546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c1,372$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.2952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes77c1,302$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.651833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c1,223$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.861,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes31c1,065$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.521040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No39c1,040$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No74c871.14$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.642035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes32c860$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes23c806.14$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes26c800$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5922725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes35c760$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No72c731.94$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.997176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes21c714.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.9818123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes53c695.63$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes26c638.46$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.4610626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9211443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No22c533.62$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Yes31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+94.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes27c476.19$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.196041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No74c439$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8614754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No29c421$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked Yes27c410$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.32060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a4…7470backed Yes25c387$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes34c370.26$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.772,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes30c350$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c347.85$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.891,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.334344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes31c332.94$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.738143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes25c330.69$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.025442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No75c330.69$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.022272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.585149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No74c320.89$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3719154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No75c320.12$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.091384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c300.53$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.638233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes78c289$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4882763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes26c268.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3812236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes26c226.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.922740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0652…9134backed Yes75c216.94$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-46.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes35c209.67$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.845142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes28c207.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.149641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes22c205.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.824047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14810535.2%37 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Yes78c179.76$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes28c179.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4816233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes29c176.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7716453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No41c172.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.938041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes78c161.82$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.822157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes32c160$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes44c153.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0625530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No18c147.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No74c142.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.44564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes29c134.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.292748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes26c134.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.244231%13 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No75c133$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.752673.1%19 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…b48bbacked Yes31c131.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf0…fd08backed Yes76c111$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.64728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-61.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Yes27c109$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No52c108.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.269724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4511630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes29c101.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211637.1%43 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7420027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes26c99.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9915461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.358666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes76c98.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d17…55f1backed Yes73c97.12$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes27c97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.811942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.752334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes26c92.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.171442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes26c91.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.653735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes31c89.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.779733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes75c87.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3310232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.924533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.924533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec60…9423backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes31c76.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes26c71.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0422746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.