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Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes22c41,264$9,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,078.195246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No49c23,904$11,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,216.16445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c20,979$8,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,687.676,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes21c10,269$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.511145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9718948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked No78c8,727$6,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.911553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes20c6,941$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.324146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked No79c6,258$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.232070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked No80c6,255$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.218259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed No79c5,605$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.16953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c5,504$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.532,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c4,950$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.772,60647.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No78c3,376$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.2556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c3,098$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.814,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c3,050$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4709943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No40c1,975$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.4846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes22c1,934$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked No51c1,819$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.1317634.7%61 W · 115 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No57c1,801$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.7642644.1%188 W · 238 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505d…6c61backed No79c1,600$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5426…bc07backed Yes21c1,591$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No80c1,568$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1819154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c1,468$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.11,01951.6%526 W · 493 L+4.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes21c1,431$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.451,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes48c1,361$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.11,42444.3%631 W · 793 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…8105backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No22c1,241$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.693250%16 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes21c1,220$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.155442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No68c1,167$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1670072.3%506 W · 194 L+83.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.363938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Yes73c1,102$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No54c1,000$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.167833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed No51c977.88$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.165151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.424047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes21c942.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c896.75$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes23c888.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes57c874.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No51c740$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.66936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcce5…afb0backed No55c733.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes22c708.29$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed No43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6710736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No52c688.13$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.314138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c650$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8479236.1%286 W · 506 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c638.8$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4298645.6%450 W · 536 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c615.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c595.98$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.921,35848.3%656 W · 702 L-3.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39d…2c58backed Yes49c579.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No80c509$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes19c505$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.955729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24053434.3%183 W · 351 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.994037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked Yes21c480$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed No66c470$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.72744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No56c449$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0825052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked No53c442.38$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.737343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…d431backed No51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No80c376$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.646536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes34c349$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2816548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Yes50c346.62$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked No79c345.34$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.523351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes21c332.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.884231%13 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c314$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.981,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f53…e7f8backed Yes80c312.67$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes30c300.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c300.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2908…789abacked No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14715841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked No53c282.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c278.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2875056.5%424 W · 326 L+44.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No79c274$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4629658.1%172 W · 124 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No79c270$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.730559.7%182 W · 123 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No79c259$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes40c249.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.211,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb82…69adbacked Yes48c249.01$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes72c241.67$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked No79c240.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.513850%19 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5619259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…a66abacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed No78c216.67$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes46c216.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x766c…fd5bbacked No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123040%12 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610535.2%37 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No78c192.94$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.