TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x766c…fd5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$44.56
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+89.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$22.62
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$36.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.