Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81956362be6a60bbabcdd5018aa6c73ed0b8c7535ad3045859aa69eec7202570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 20c | 20,539$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.97 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 11,549$9,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.25 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 80c | 6,212$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.89 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 22c | 5,573$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.01 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 3,771$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.34 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 3,414$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.06 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 19c | 1,499$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 10c | 1,285$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 2c | 1,155$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,043$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 999.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 22c | 871$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 16c | 804.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 767.3$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 563.82$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 538.77$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 22c | 508$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 21c | 477.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 22c | 461$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 22c | 453$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 17c | 423.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 19c | 412.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 22c | 412$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 20c | 388.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 16c | 352.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 21c | 241.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 21c | 239.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 231.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Yes | 7c | 221.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3b3cbacked No | 80c | 216$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 22c | 182.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 20c | 151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 149.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 18c | 146.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 20c | 137$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…fd5bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 20c | 122.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 20c | 117.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 22c | 116.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 79c | 112$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +280%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 19c | 99.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Yes | 13c | 94.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 22c | 90.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…336fbacked Yes | 16c | 86.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 21c | 71.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 60.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 60.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 22c | 57.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…dd7ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 39.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…1961backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.