Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd76c2d20a16a3bdaa806f4b8158cccbc8b72e0fcd82b1bfab32e1ce486dd08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,522$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.85 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 2,643$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.2 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 1,784$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.04 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 54c | 1,763$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 1,154$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.89 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 61c | 1,007$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 46c | 1,007$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 943.17$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.88 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 696.45$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.26 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 30c | 663.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 59c | 561$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 80c | 547$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked No | 30c | 502.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 57c | 476$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 430.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 23c | 395.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes | 72c | 346.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 55c | 225.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 60c | 220.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 58c | 187$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 184$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 178.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 60c | 177$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 160$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 151.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 150.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 27c | 126.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 86.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 82.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 32c | 81.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…b15ebacked Yes | 74c | 74.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 80c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…37d8backed Yes | 21c | 59.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 29c | 53.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 54c | 50.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…41bbbacked Yes | 41c | 48.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 29c | 48.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 36c | 42.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…f12ebacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…e1b3backed No | 80c | 22.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…f08bbacked No | 66c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Yes | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…6953backed No | 80c | 20.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…6d9abacked No | 80c | 16.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.