Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae34e52847de8a2c140f47ca63bde578ae104008f0dd8a7501df429210d43fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 58c | 5,704$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 3,560$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.07 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 40c | 2,678$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.66 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 42c | 2,186$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 47c | 1,958$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.86 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 41c | 1,942$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 1,463$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.54 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 1,463$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.2 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…0c4abacked Yes | 61c | 1,329$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 51c | 1,156$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 1,077$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.11 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 60c | 957.88$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.37 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 77c | 593.92$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa8…ebb4backed Yes | 61c | 558.37$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 58c | 510.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 495.02$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Yes | 52c | 440.88$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 431.48$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.31 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 61c | 410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 25c | 400$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 60c | 395.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 41c | 346.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 330.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 326.92$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 59c | 302$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Yes | 60c | 300.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 22c | 291.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 25c | 278.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 59c | 274.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 21c | 241.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes | 38c | 211.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 51c | 208$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 42c | 200.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 60c | 195.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 53c | 188.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 53c | 188.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Yes | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes | 59c | 168.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 39c | 164.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 61c | 163.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 162.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…2701backed Yes | 61c | 161.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…a7f6backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 33c | 141.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7388…2887backed No | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 67c | 128.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Yes | 26c | 125.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 32c | 125.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 123.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 72c | 121.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 59c | 118.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 60c | 101$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee8…e2fcbacked Yes | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 20c | 99.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 99.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 42c | 99.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 84.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 58c | 84.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 83.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Yes | 59c | 83.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 59c | 68.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 48c | 62.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 61c | 56.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 53.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 52.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…1ff9backed Yes | 60c | 50.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…48d9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 61c | 49.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 41c | 48.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 31c | 46.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 60c | 43.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 40c | 41.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.