TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36f1…847f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT5139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+319.1%+$871.79
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.35
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$7.43
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$8.63
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+159%+$29.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$98.82
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$29.79
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$11.84
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.57
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+32.8%+$17.61
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$180.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$85.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.