Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd7555c0fafeca1478e0d5e0a12918e664350ea8c14544dfda6b4f2846d08ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca65…f06fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,049$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,605$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 1c | 1,567$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 51c | 1,276$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 1c | 1,190$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 1,131$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 38c | 999.96$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 63c | 899.99$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.12 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 67c | 608.3$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 56c | 599$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 39c | 420.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…35cbbacked Yes | 60c | 372.88$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Yes | 45c | 341.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 341$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 272.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked Yes | 21c | 266.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed No | 75c | 266.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 51c | 252.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 251.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…093fbacked Yes | 70c | 245.65$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…87f5backed Yes | 70c | 245.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…903dbacked Yes | 58c | 244.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 240.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…62a8backed No | 75c | 239.21$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…58f9backed Yes | 16c | 225.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 19c | 214.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 29c | 204.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…830abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa275…fd87backed Yes | 22c | 183.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 10c | 175.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 166$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 30c | 164.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed No | 72c | 161.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked No | 60c | 158.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked Yes | 25c | 155.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed No | 70c | 151.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 28c | 148.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…b385backed No | 55c | 147.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 28c | 137.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 12c | 137.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…0a62backed No | 76c | 131.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 32c | 130.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 21c | 130.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…9d09backed Yes | 31c | 128.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 17c | 122.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 69c | 119.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 63c | 113.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 23c | 111.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 105.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 104.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…8cc1backed No | 78c | 101.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 100.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…6417backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…c2a5backed No | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 25c | 99.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 50c | 98.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 65c | 95.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 94.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 58c | 94.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 22c | 92.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 17c | 89.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 14c | 89.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 36c | 84.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 65c | 84.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed Yes | 25c | 84.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 25c | 83.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…26bfbacked Yes | 32c | 81.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 23c | 80.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 76.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 28c | 73.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 73.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…dcf3backed Yes | 25c | 72.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 71.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 20c | 67.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 67.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…e634backed Yes | 31c | 67.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 69c | 66.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b47…4932backed No | 29c | 65.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…f2b4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 79c | 62.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Yes | 43c | 58.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…31b1backed Yes | 23c | 57.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 42c | 56.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…6881backed Yes | 73c | 56.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…04bfbacked Yes | 21c | 56.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 53.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 23c | 53.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…24f9backed Yes | 27c | 52.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 51.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.