Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877f7c555bf2464f37adb818159f05460a45f1f6a28b2a96869f67a6c12e75a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 76c | 2,682$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.14 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 1,210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 27c | 1,125$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.77 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 1c | 1,067$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 44c | 825.38$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 48c | 812.42$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.47 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 45c | 591.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 60c | 541.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked No | 23c | 470.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 31c | 440.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.11 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…62a8backed No | 76c | 406.52$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 72c | 393.03$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 35c | 385.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 369.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 340.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 331$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 23c | 275.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 272.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 73c | 272.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 80c | 257.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 68c | 251.34$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 245.16$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 242.83$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 25c | 237.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 46c | 230.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed Yes | 66c | 213.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 64c | 159.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 157.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 60c | 153.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…5dd1backed Yes | 53c | 153$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 24c | 147.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 145$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 30c | 139.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 76c | 135.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 52c | 131.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 38c | 130.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 27c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 128.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 50c | 127.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 38c | 126.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 23c | 125.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…24f9backed Yes | 38c | 125$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 45c | 123.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 76c | 121.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 120.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 62c | 118.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 112.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 105.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 49c | 104.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…47c7backed No | 24c | 103.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…e168backed No | 76c | 103.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 16c | 101.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 25c | 100.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 32c | 97.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 53c | 96.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…9d09backed Yes | 27c | 93.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 25c | 89.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 12c | 88.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 70c | 85.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 83.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 27c | 83.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 65c | 83.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 31c | 81.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…3eabbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 30c | 79.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 23c | 75.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 74.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 27c | 74.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 21c | 72.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 73c | 72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 70c | 71.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 71.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed No | 75c | 69.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…7858backed Yes | 30c | 67.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 67.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918d…adaabacked No | 74c | 67.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 32c | 64.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 20c | 63.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…1fb0backed Yes | 64c | 63.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…ae9bbacked No | 44c | 63.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 28c | 61.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 28c | 60.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…146fbacked No | 22c | 60.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 42c | 59.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 56c | 57.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 57c | 57.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 30c | 55.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 25c | 54.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 25c | 50.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 42c | 50.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…e021backed Yes | 30c | 49.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 28c | 49.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.