TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09e7…1fff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT9439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$19.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.89
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.82
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.62
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$44.34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$16.22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$5.71
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$5.03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85%+$22.87
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.43
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$164.61
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$3.21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.8%+$32.36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$7.87
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+200.7%+$38.25
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$6.15
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Cuiaba: Josefina Estevez vs Sofia Da Cruz Mendoncabacked Josefina Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
ITF Wichita: James Trotter vs Karl Polingbacked James Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kyrgios vs. Moutet: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.77
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworthbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonaldbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.05
Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)backed Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Yannick Hanfmann vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.84
Qinwen Zheng vs. Jaqueline Cristian: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tausonbacked Mia Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.77
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Andreescu (+1.5)backed Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.67
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Berta Passolabacked Berta Passola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.54
ITF Focsani: Sophie Greiner vs Daria Yesypchukbacked Daria Yesypchuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.38
ITF Sumter: Reese Brantmeier vs Cadence Bracebacked Reese Brantmeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kristina Liutovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
ITF Caserta: Nastasja Schunk vs Alessandra Mazzolabacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.55
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.96
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.64
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$22.37
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$51.26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$43.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$53.86
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.04
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$60.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.98
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.44
Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.28
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+343.9%+$96.64
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Will Kim Jong-hoon win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$12.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$4.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+101.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$21.44
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)backed Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)backed Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+371.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+371.3%+$52.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.