Fifa International · resolved market
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef68faa9ace9a2082038d88e03287b5de1fb01080dd71e31ccc468016a111f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 18c | 1,296$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 66c | 887.22$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.68 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 29c | 813.66$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 642.81$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked Yes | 66c | 602.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 65c | 465.66$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 40c | 451.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 240 | 37.1%89 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 30c | 367.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 74c | 276$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 13c | 220$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…91abbacked No | 32c | 156.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed No | 60c | 141.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 124.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 16c | 112.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 35c | 105.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 30c | 103.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 102.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…4dfebacked Yes | 72c | 101.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 98.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 19c | 97.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 80c | 92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1671…2f6dbacked Yes | 59c | 88.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 31c | 71.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…ec43backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 46c | 61.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…e621backed Yes | 68c | 48.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…76adbacked No | 31c | 42.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 33c | 37.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 27.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 44c | 24.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will 2+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 4+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 6+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.