TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc13f…c336

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT22123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 221 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Ourense: Isabella Shinikova vs Britt Du Preebacked Britt Du Pree · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
ITF Southaven: Kaylan Bigun vs Maximus Dussaultbacked Kaylan Bigun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Set 2 Winner: Mertens vs Osakabacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs Osakabacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.55
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.37
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$344.31
Lexington: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.81
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakinabacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.46
ITF Landisville: Ayana Akli vs Carolyn Ansaribacked Carolyn Ansari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
ITF Landisville: Polina Iatcenko vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Polina Iatcenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Sofia Meabebacked Sofia Meabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.89
ITF Leipzig: Caijsa Hennemann vs Valentina Steinerbacked Valentina Steiner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
ITF Roehampton: Amelia Rajecki vs Brooke Blackbacked Brooke Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kymbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.31
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,840
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.97
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$674
ITF Southaven: Karim Bennani vs Jack Anthropbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
ITF Southaven: Patrick Maloney vs Johannus Mondaybacked Patrick Maloney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$3,412.3
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.24
Showing 25 of 221 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.83
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$556
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.35
Will the announcers say "Giants" or "Jets" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$81.15
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.96
Will Morocco win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.74
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$536.37
World Cup Final: Weather Delay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Nico Paz Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.47
Will "Dai Dai" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.35
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$443.82
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.68
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$166.62
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.93
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$143.52
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$293.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.