Tennis · resolved market
ITF Landisville: Polina Iatcenko vs Caroline Dolehide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a3b8dc60c5562af49c2c6fdc21d5c674f82859f94ebd43abbf948f8aec384e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caroline Dolehideof Polina Iatcenko, Caroline Dolehide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Polina Iatcenko | 8c | 4,368$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Polina Iatcenko | 7c | 1,522$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caroline Dolehide | 79c | 933.9$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Polina Iatcenko | 21c | 418.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Polina Iatcenko | 37c | 373.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Caroline Dolehide | 63c | 363.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Polina Iatcenko | 6c | 361.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Polina Iatcenko | 10c | 195.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Polina Iatcenko | 36c | 172.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Caroline Dolehide | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Polina Iatcenko | 9c | 165.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Polina Iatcenko | 9c | 165.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Polina Iatcenko | 45c | 158.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Polina Iatcenko | 10c | 129.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Caroline Dolehide | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Polina Iatcenko | 49c | 101.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Polina Iatcenko | 38c | 100.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Polina Iatcenko | 20c | 51.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Caroline Dolehide | 63c | 49.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Caroline Dolehide | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Caroline Dolehide | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Polina Iatcenko | 37c | 28.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Caroline Dolehide | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Caroline Dolehide | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Polina Iatcenko | 70c | 20.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Caroline Dolehide | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.