South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea4774d22101f88c11e70feab3f2e53a898f51858b8bcf94eada2aaafdaff49

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $123,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,630 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under	53c	21,329$11,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,085.88	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	36c	17,213$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,199.56	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	62c	6,154$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,353.62	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	63c	3,782$2,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414	217	52.1%113 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	62c	3,598$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.82	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under	73c	3,398$2,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.53	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	60c	3,176$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.03	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	59c	3,038$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.63	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	41c	2,580$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.05	752	40.8%307 W · 445 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	23c	2,500$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.97	347	47.6%165 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	32c	1,945$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.82	1,328	57%757 W · 571 L	+57.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	23c	1,944$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.92	106	18.9%20 W · 86 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Over	54c	1,754$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.96	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Over	23c	1,647$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.87	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	58c	1,473$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.66	256	35.9%92 W · 164 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	71c	1,356$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.26	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	63c	1,308$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.01	824	34.5%284 W · 540 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	55c	1,247$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.59	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b38…6dc8backed Under	22c	1,246$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.66	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	34cpaid	+82%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Over	29c	1,214$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.73	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over	45c	1,211$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.51	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Over	44c	1,146$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.6	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over	42c	1,122$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.97	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under	67c	1,103$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.94	219	38.8%85 W · 134 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over	7c	1,065$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.57	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under	47c	1,053$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.58	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Over	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…ab54backed Over	27c	898.69$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.05	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	63c	836.75$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.55	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	64c	656.01$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.15	1,038	49.4%513 W · 525 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed Over	34c	647.25$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.03	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…002fbacked Over	35c	584.08$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.04	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over	15c	582.95$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.15	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	63c	574.74$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.54	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	77c	554$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.42	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	37c	505.41$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.41	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Over	23c	499.97$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under	61c	489.01$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.67	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under	57c	456.92$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.43	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over	24c	444$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.56	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked Over	66c	426.73$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.04	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	42c	419.76$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.3	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	58c	414.54$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.04	896	45.4%407 W · 489 L	-23.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under	45c	411.91$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked Over	14c	405.89$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.36	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over	77c	398.91$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.16	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	34c	396.5$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.06	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Over	38c	388.8$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.43	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	62c	388.33$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.13	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Over	32c	378.5$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.09	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under	50c	360.74$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.37	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+96.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca9…4669backed Over	21c	337.67$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.42	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…4ebcbacked Over	41c	336.75$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	42c	323.35$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.05	230	44.3%102 W · 128 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	37c	281.62$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.2	646	33.1%214 W · 432 L	-24.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over	64c	278.22$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.78	331	52.6%174 W · 157 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Over	61c	262.25$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.97	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	51c	256.5$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.43	517	50.7%262 W · 255 L	+28.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	60c	217.47$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.43	552	50.2%277 W · 275 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over	34c	202$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.28	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	22c	200$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	123	38.2%47 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	72c	180.97$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.42	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	57c	177.41$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.79	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under	42c	172.07$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.22	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c5c…1cf7backed Under	54c	168.52$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899c…81b0backed Under	67c	150$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over	73c	149.43$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.16	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	46c	147.53$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.55	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	47c	147.15$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.53	457	46.8%214 W · 243 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	56c	147.12$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.72	210	44.3%93 W · 117 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Over	48c	144.79$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+89.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under	46c	142.78$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.73	194	47.9%93 W · 101 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	59c	142.15$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.4	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over	18c	140.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under	26c	130.85$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.83	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	36c	126.51$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	313	55.6%174 W · 139 L	+24.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	336	58.3%196 W · 140 L	+32.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	269	65.4%176 W · 93 L	+48.9wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	77c	122.21$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.03	668	37.1%248 W · 420 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Under	49c	121$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Over	40c	110.84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	47c	107.84$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.62	292	45.2%132 W · 160 L	-24.0wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	43c	105.8$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under	79c	104$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.68	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9851…c31dbacked Over	22c	97.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	68c	95.63$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.66	464	49.6%230 W · 234 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	23c	94.54$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2620…2a78backed Over	21c	93.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	35c	93.03$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.77	1,302	50.2%653 W · 649 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under	78c	92.31$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.31	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over	16c	84.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed Under	79c	83$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.43	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	77cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	27c	82.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5this page
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 2.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 1.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 2.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event