South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ff6276ecbbfc4c7e8289ca6d087efda8e6175be4d56888d32430622eb175e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 58c | 8,402$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.09 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 16c | 7,232$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.22 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…2d5cbacked Under | 63c | 4,261$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 1c | 2,878$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 43c | 2,347$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.28 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 2,231$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 42c | 1,378$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.24 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 68c | 1,374$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 42c | 1,256$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.34 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 1,215$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.12 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 19c | 967.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 961.44$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.65 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 16c | 877.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 749.37$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.64 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 19c | 720.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 38c | 666$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 479.5$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 79c | 435.29$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 14c | 380.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 75c | 355.87$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 342.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 56c | 255.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 34c | 220.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 42c | 216.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 177.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Over | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 42c | 127$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 75c | 92.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 58c | 84.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 73.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 35c | 72.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 57c | 71.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 37c | 65.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 29c | 64.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Over | 43c | 55.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 40c | 54.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 33c | 53.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 53c | 53.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 41c | 50.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 48.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 43.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Over | 38c | 43.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 43.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 59c | 40.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 40.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 41c | 33.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed Under | 58c | 32.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 53c | 31.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…15cbbacked Over | 42c | 31.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 59c | 30.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 35c | 29.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 76c | 24.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 22.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…9548backed Under | 69c | 19.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.