TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,005 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes59c9,110$5,375 inWon+$3,734.849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes59c2,737$1,611 inWon+$1,126.198756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c2,668$1,176 inLost-$1,175.713,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No41c2,038$835 inLost-$835.2934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c1,642$673 inLost-$673.161,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c1,628$667 inLost-$667.481,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c1,053$432 inLost-$432.271,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No54c1,026$554 inLost-$553.5875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c977.86$401 inLost-$400.921,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c724.1$296 inLost-$296.071,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c421.99$174 inLost-$174.162,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes54c341.02$185 inWon+$155.948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c314.57$131 inLost-$130.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No41c241.99$99 inLost-$99.2231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes54c183.54$100 inWon+$83.650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.492356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes49c154.11$75 inWon+$79.1264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No41c144.74$60 inLost-$59.9750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No42c115.08$48 inLost-$48.2419040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd301…f176backed Yes60c114.15$69 inWon+$45.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No27c103.98$28 inLost-$27.9989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes57c103.14$59 inWon+$44.5435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed No51c100$51 inLost-$51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes54c93.45$51 inWon+$42.5851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No42c65.67$28 inLost-$27.8133152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No42c60.39$25 inLost-$25.3666837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Yes50c55.73$28 inWon+$27.932352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…4ebcbacked No42c50.76$21 inLost-$21.3250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed No41c48.78$20 inLost-$206543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes56c46.63$26 inWon+$20.3255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes59c42.37$25 inWon+$17.374440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdb…6ab2backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon+$17.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon+$13.91844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes49c28.43$14 inWon+$14.444475%33 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No42c26.9$11 inLost-$11.346449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf119…a229backed Yes50c26.73$13 inWon+$13.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+62.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes56c26.56$15 inWon+$11.561376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Yes57c19.37$11 inWon+$8.3316050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.