TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,791 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over52c4,700$2,444 inWon+$2,256.092050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c4,506$2,140 inLost-$2,139.645,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435e…f153backed Under5c397.8$19 inLost-$18.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under46c238.32$111 inLost-$110.7964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon+$92.316131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c139.77$60 inLost-$60.038,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c113.64$75 inWon+$38.6476951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under51c96.3$49 inLost-$48.8355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over65c79.98$52 inWon+$27.9910055%55 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x304a…3d25backed Over77c65$50 inWon+$14.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over58c64.26$37 inWon+$27.1351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over58c60$35 inWon+$25.1150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c60$27 inLost-$26.913,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over57c52.62$30 inWon+$22.821538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over57c52.59$30 inWon+$22.7945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over58c50$29 inWon+$21.0848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over54c40$22 inWon+$18.535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x918a…03c8backed Under28c39.42$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under31c36.31$11 inLost-$11.2546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over52c21.7$11 inWon+$10.339026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over79c15$12 inWon+$3.155100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.