South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab33c0ed4ea976f28b344bc0be3250b26cf61be239d2a0fbefa5736ed091cf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 20c | 6,221$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.5 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 37c | 2,909$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.08 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 2,026$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.98 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,922$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 25c | 1,655$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.38 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…6dc8backed Over | 44c | 1,386$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 1,221$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 66c | 717.03$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.38 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 27c | 692.92$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.21 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 49c | 500.54$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 42c | 438.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 43c | 404.01$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 77c | 385.8$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 30c | 366.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 46c | 318.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 310.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 58c | 290.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 32c | 285.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 271$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 31c | 264.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 233.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 72c | 228.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 65c | 188$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 67c | 182.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 67c | 177.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 160.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…f6abbacked Over | 68c | 139.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 44c | 128.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 67c | 121.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 21c | 113.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 31c | 109.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 72c | 101.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 30c | 100.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 79c | 99.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 52c | 80.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.3wins | +0.36per pick | 59cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Over | 34c | 72.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Over | 33c | 71.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 68.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 58c | 66.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Over | 33c | 64.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 80c | 62.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 79c | 60.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…4669backed Over | 34c | 59.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 42c | 57.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Over | 34c | 54.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 32c | 41.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…6837backed Over | 31c | 39.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 41c | 37.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…a229backed Over | 35c | 35.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 37c | 33.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 78c | 31.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 76c | 29.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 29.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 61c | 28.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…9f87backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 43c | 23.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 75c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Club Necaxa O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.