TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,389 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Under22c26,737$5,901 inLost-$5,900.571154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over78c9,404$7,313 inWon+$2,091.475,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c6,533$5,142 inWon+$1,390.552,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under8c3,514$293 inLost-$293.0720036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over79c3,459$2,743 inWon+$716.288,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over79c3,375$2,681 inWon+$694.153,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over78c1,750$1,358 inWon+$392.519447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over78c677.23$530 inWon+$147.4725635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over77c540.35$416 inWon+$124.2857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over78c315.63$247 inWon+$68.2351750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over80c299.38$240 inWon+$59.883571.4%25 W · 10 L+10.8wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+132.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under5c263.1$13 inLost-$12.958657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over80c211.01$169 inWon+$42.2946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over78c146$114 inWon+$31.534252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under15c144.8$22 inLost-$21.7219711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over77c112$86 inWon+$25.7618446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under21c100$21 inLost-$2115554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under15c89.84$14 inLost-$13.6789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Over79c69.21$55 inWon+$14.653043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Under16c68.75$11 inLost-$116426.6%17 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Over77c63.41$49 inWon+$14.482339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Over79c37.71$30 inWon+$7.926955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Over80c16.5$13 inWon+$3.36768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over79c16.19$13 inWon+$3.49350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.