Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed13fb88bba47cc636128fc21925b09af168544f76583f29edb28e0ff2a832ba

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $294,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,327 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	25,920$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.22	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	0c	11,226$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.72	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	1c	9,962$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.39	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	0c	8,421$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	7,512$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.11	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	6,883$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.4	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	6,696$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.22	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Yes	6c	5,021$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	3c	4,645$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.43	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	4,448$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.02	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	4,200$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	2c	3,866$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.41	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	3c	3,366$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.61	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	2c	3,304$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	4c	3,183$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.18	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	4c	3,017$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.63	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	2,958$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.12	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	2c	2,915$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.22	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	2c	2,851$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.79	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	2,744$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	3c	2,733$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.63	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	2,672$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.7	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	2,512$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.51	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	3c	2,310$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	2,140$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.03	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,970$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	3c	1,960$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.68	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	3c	1,892$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.01	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2cf…cd1fbacked Yes	5c	1,754$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.55	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	6c	1,653$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	3c	1,511$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.44	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	1,503$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.88	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	5c	1,500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.1	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	4c	1,436$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.64	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	5c	1,411$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	1,366$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	3c	1,332$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	3c	1,283$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	1,248$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8794…fa1bbacked Yes	1c	1,186$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	2c	1,166$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	2c	1,158$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	4c	1,116$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	7c	1,042$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	3c	1,028$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	7c	1,017$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.45	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	11c	988.94$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.91	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6293…d14dbacked Yes	1c	971$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc0…39c3backed Yes	2c	917.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	8c	896.84$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.63	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5280…86f9backed Yes	3c	850.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.66	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	3c	834.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.19	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	2c	831.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01da…07bebacked Yes	2c	800$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	143	20.3%29 W · 114 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+82.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9842…132bbacked Yes	3c	782.27$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	6cpaid	+607%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	5c	779.39$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.55	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	6cpaid	+338.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	731.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a03…3db7backed Yes	5c	718.14$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	706.01$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	2c	677.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	5c	662.26$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.83	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	660.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	5c	658.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	3c	641.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7bd…de07backed Yes	2c	620.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	6c	618.16$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	2c	599.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	5c	590$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…76c5backed Yes	3c	588.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee40…6997backed Yes	3c	571.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.37	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	3c	524.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	2c	522.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	500.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580f…e755backed Yes	9c	500$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Yes	4c	499.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	6c	454.75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd65c…0febbacked Yes	3c	448.32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked Yes	3c	441.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3473…e864backed Yes	6c	434.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+134.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	8c	412.31$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.57	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb936…a6a6backed Yes	4c	405$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.52	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2b…fab7backed Yes	4c	376.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	4c	313.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	6c	310$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	278.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	5c	267.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	15c	206.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	5c	200.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	6c	193.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bdc…3454backed Yes	8c	185.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb411…8a7cbacked Yes	6c	179.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b13backed Yes	7c	175.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3821…bde6backed Yes	11c	147.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…ee76backed Yes	9c	135.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event