Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84bbf8957d90134d5ee34a79ae319b6395c07cab6c99f2500d496132a43af92f

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $296,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $168,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,743 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	8,659$2,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,033.3	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	7,818$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.21	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	6,349$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.23	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	0c	6,314$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	2c	6,165$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.48	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e7…45d8backed Yes	2c	5,365$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	12c	5,033$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.6	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	4,980$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.06	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	4,871$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.89	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Yes	16c	3,927$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	3,834$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.66	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	32c	3,831$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.01	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed No	78c	3,500$2,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.92	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	0c	3,150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	78c	3,010$2,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.76	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	3,001$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.02	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	8c	2,956$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.9	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	11c	2,770$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.94	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	15c	2,760$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	2,730$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.83	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	2,490$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.12	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	17c	2,277$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.1	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	28c	2,096$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.06	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	2,055$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.84	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	18c	2,000$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.64	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	78c	1,891$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.5	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed Yes	1c	1,852$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	14c	1,844$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.9	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	16c	1,833$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.34	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	18c	1,800$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.55	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	17c	1,596$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd46…4c7dbacked Yes	11c	1,519$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.71	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	12c	1,436$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.72	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9b…aa8dbacked Yes	1c	1,384$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	16c	1,364$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.02	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	3c	1,350$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	19c	1,178$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.48	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes	31c	1,157$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.15	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	3c	1,104$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	2c	1,096$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	23c	1,093$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.38	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	2c	1,077$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	1,055$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	79c	1,020$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.24	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	19c	1,018$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.96	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	1,008$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.13	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	21c	1,000$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	14c	879.9$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.82	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	12c	875.85$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.44	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	77c	872.95$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.27	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	1c	864.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	21c	835.81$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.96	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	16c	830.31$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.81	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c5…dd45backed Yes	1c	800$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes	25c	799.44$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.16	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	2c	787.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	21c	764.01$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.15	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x952b…c92fbacked No	70c	759.84$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.19	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	27c	757.76$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.55	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	22c	709.06$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.75	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	3c	708.39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	21c	696.59$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.28	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	20c	600.36$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.39	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	19c	600$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.55	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes	22c	598.16$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	12c	572.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.94	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	23c	556$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.8	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	10c	553.7$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.58	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7374…38ffbacked Yes	27c	550.46$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.51	113	59.3%67 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	11c	540$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.7	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29e7…fbbfbacked Yes	2c	532.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	76c	523.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.23	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	5c	514.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	9c	504.49$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	12c	500$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb936…a6a6backed Yes	17c	490.59$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.42	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	20c	464.42$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.58	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	455.47$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	18c	446.41$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.56	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked Yes	19c	438.6$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.3	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	16c	435.27$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.63	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	26c	431.1$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.77	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	69c	427.67$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.11	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	22c	423.95$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.92	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	19c	418.75$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d7…a8cebacked Yes	36c	416.27$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.7	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a03…3db7backed Yes	8c	392.65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.29	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	14c	388.31$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.92	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	3c	356.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	23c	353.24$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.98	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	16c	338.36$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.71	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x967d…ddd4backed Yes	28c	334.32$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	7c	330.93$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee50…11e6backed Yes	7c	317.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.66	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes	22c	316.54$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.9	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	20c	310.25$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.14	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event