TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb36…a357

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.54
France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.71
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.53
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$347
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$426.92
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$660
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Olivia Lincer vs Tatjana Mariabacked Olivia Lincer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Bogota: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Matias Sotobacked Juan Sebastian Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bogota: Sergio Luis Hernandez vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Sergio Luis Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iasi: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Cezar Cretubacked Alex Marti Pujolras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Bogota: Juan Sebastian Gomez vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Juan Sebastian Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$591.04
Iasi: Stefan Palosi vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Stefan Palosi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Contrexeville: Francesca Curmi vs Oceane Dodinbacked Oceane Dodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iasi: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cinabacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+307.9%+$63.37
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Neel/Olmosbacked Neel/Olmos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+351%+$175.52
Iasi: Jerome Kym vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Jiang/Xu vs Siegemund/Zvonarevabacked Jiang/Xu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+466.7%+$233.33
ITF Roda De Bara: Hamish Stewart vs Pablo Aunionbacked Pablo Aunion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bastad: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+350.8%+$254.47
Bastad: Miriam Bulgaru vs Valeriya Strakhovabacked Valeriya Strakhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-68.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.46
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$613
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+314.9%+$379.52
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.84
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.