Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa9d72d0ee531989fd08ae7c1652eae82fec5c4b3276137ca5b154d8b31fb221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Juan Sebastian Osorio, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 25c | 2,140$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.33 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 28c | 1,737$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.28 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matias Soto | 76c | 1,300$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Matias Soto | 74c | 1,300$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.57 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matias Soto | 73c | 1,169$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 12c | 1,099$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 999.89$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 15c | 989.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 11c | 610.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 25c | 582.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matias Soto | 73c | 487.03$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Matias Soto | 76c | 458.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 8c | 436$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 26c | 393.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 12c | 343.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 21c | 333.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 14c | 332.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 8c | 325.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Matias Soto | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 26c | 280$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 38c | 276$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 7c | 262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Matias Soto | 66c | 253.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Matias Soto | 67c | 231.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 26c | 197.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 34c | 185$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 25c | 177$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Matias Soto | 74c | 158.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Matias Soto | 68c | 146.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 136.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 44c | 125.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 124.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 21c | 118.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Matias Soto | 67c | 115.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Matias Soto | 67c | 98.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 95.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 33c | 94.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 22c | 93.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Matias Soto | 72c | 74.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Matias Soto | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Matias Soto | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Matias Soto | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 26c | 60.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Matias Soto | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matias Soto | 73c | 56.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 21c | 55.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 23c | 54.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matias Soto | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matias Soto | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Matias Soto | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Matias Soto | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matias Soto | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Matias Soto | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Matias Soto | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Matias Soto | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 32c | 45.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 28c | 43.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Matias Soto | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Matias Soto | 75c | 33.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Matias Soto | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Matias Soto | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Matias Soto | 74c | 23.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matias Soto | 77c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…f416backed Matias Soto | 72c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.