Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Miriam Bulgaru vs Valeriya Strakhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24c61d77ad48518a1c3a865d65771c7c62526e633cd119d5dc8bc59ba8b6107d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miriam Bulgaruof Miriam Bulgaru, Valeriya Strakhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valeriya Strakhova | 23c | 22,881$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miriam Bulgaru | 71c | 22,688$16,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,586.66 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 17c | 4,408$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Miriam Bulgaru | 78c | 1,917$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.93 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valeriya Strakhova | 26c | 1,486$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.53 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 72c | 1,271$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 28c | 1,080$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Valeriya Strakhova | 26c | 536.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 503.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valeriya Strakhova | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Valeriya Strakhova | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 31c | 276.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 69c | 259.84$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Valeriya Strakhova | 28c | 255.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Miriam Bulgaru | 79c | 251.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 78c | 250$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Valeriya Strakhova | 21c | 233.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…d359backed Miriam Bulgaru | 69c | 214.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Valeriya Strakhova | 28c | 184.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valeriya Strakhova | 17c | 184.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 28c | 178.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Valeriya Strakhova | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Miriam Bulgaru | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Miriam Bulgaru | 72c | 153.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Valeriya Strakhova | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Miriam Bulgaru | 72c | 126.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Valeriya Strakhova | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Miriam Bulgaru | 80c | 123.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…861dbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 68c | 118.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Valeriya Strakhova | 36c | 116.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Valeriya Strakhova | 22c | 113.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 22c | 106.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 103.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Valeriya Strakhova | 22c | 98.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Valeriya Strakhova | 35c | 93.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miriam Bulgaru | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Valeriya Strakhova | 31c | 81.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Valeriya Strakhova | 27c | 81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Miriam Bulgaru | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Miriam Bulgaru | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Valeriya Strakhova | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed Miriam Bulgaru | 70c | 50.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Valeriya Strakhova | 24c | 44.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Valeriya Strakhova | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Miriam Bulgaru | 78c | 39.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Valeriya Strakhova | 38c | 38.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Miriam Bulgaru | 74c | 35.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miriam Bulgaru | 76c | 32.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Miriam Bulgaru | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miriam Bulgaru | 72c | 23.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Miriam Bulgaru | 76c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bastad: Miriam Bulgaru vs Valeriya Strakhovathis page
- Set Handicap: Bulgaru (-1.5) vs Strakhova (+1.5)Bulgaru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.