TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2363…a20d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT11028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Iasi Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,275
Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Iasi Open: Clara Burel vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$145.59
Croatia Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Athens Open: Magda Linette vs Mai Hontamabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$78.06
Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Elena Ruxandra Berteabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$103.94
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$90.36
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swedish Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Mili Poljicakbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Taro Danielbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rinconbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bastad: Yulia Putintseva vs Paula Badosabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Tristan McCormickbacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Bastad: Paula Badosa vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Dplus - Map 4 Winnerbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$22.55
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.68
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.91
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.33
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.98
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.57
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$41.56
Valorant: So:sweet vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$31.81
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,151.34
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$163.42
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$152.43
Valorant: QoR vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$213.88
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32%+$79.88
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$67.54
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$635
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$741.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$117.86
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$253.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$349.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.