TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, Shopify Rebellion Black
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion Black68c10,000$6,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,791.8352155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked SaD Esports51c2,908$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.6968949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked SaD Esports32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.998348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed SaD Esports34c1,831$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.041931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black40c1,646$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4184838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Shopify Rebellion Black57c1,440$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.7926758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6922…5d9cbacked SaD Esports32c1,298$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed SaD Esports55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5407656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black41c1,039$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.811,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked SaD Esports32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6808334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Shopify Rebellion Black25c877.63$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6623732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed Shopify Rebellion Black64c767.48$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.745442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked SaD Esports32c728.44$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.345759.6%34 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed SaD Esports26c727.71$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.0122344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion Black34c688.94$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.961,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion Black36c637.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked SaD Esports33c593.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.746946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed SaD Esports32c555.73$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1715038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed SaD Esports32c511.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.956229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed SaD Esports36c510$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.46454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6c…618bbacked SaD Esports32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked SaD Esports32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3406043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed SaD Esports32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8d…6db9backed SaD Esports32c453.13$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c399.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9918460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Shopify Rebellion Black43c384.57$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6222539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked SaD Esports32c382.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9715232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black42c375.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.21,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked SaD Esports34c368.95$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.239040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked SaD Esports32c365$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Shopify Rebellion Black33c354.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1313225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed SaD Esports32c312.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.041729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Shopify Rebellion Black68c312.05$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1943059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked SaD Esports32c310.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.868240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black78c309.1$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed SaD Esports32c281.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.257347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SaD Esports55c275.76$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.211,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Shopify Rebellion Black54c267.11$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.155637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black46c259$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9690733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3250…7beabacked Shopify Rebellion Black29c255.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked SaD Esports33c252.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed SaD Esports33c239.43$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.424953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black31c232.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Shopify Rebellion Black19c207$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5199846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SaD Esports33c199.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9834443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black70c197.2$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7954439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked SaD Esports32c184.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Shopify Rebellion Black56c184.54$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…4e2dbacked SaD Esports32c184$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.115833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed SaD Esports23c179.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4554342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed SaD Esports40c175.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3310225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports52c163.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.241,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed SaD Esports32c160$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.813446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7550…0edfbacked SaD Esports30c158.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black64c157.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked SaD Esports32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.253243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked SaD Esports32c152$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…23cebacked SaD Esports32c152$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+106.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed SaD Esports32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10217640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black68c145.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed SaD Esports33c140.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed SaD Esports52c129.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.651850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Shopify Rebellion Black12c123.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.883411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Shopify Rebellion Black63c122.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.997530.7%23 W · 52 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion Black54c118.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed SaD Esports33c115.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed SaD Esports32c112.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.514941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Shopify Rebellion Black64c112.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.46055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black35c109.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5840254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed SaD Esports33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Shopify Rebellion Black41c96.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4365347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black67c95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6516451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked SaD Esports37c94.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5915535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed SaD Esports53c94.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.593250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Shopify Rebellion Black67c93.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.420553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3919…b3f3backed SaD Esports31c89.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.091741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked SaD Esports33c87.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.332352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked SaD Esports68c87.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6634954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black65c83.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.431,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked SaD Esports18c83.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8212143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed SaD Esports42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3313933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed SaD Esports18c81.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9424140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked SaD Esports37c80.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.583154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed Shopify Rebellion Black15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked SaD Esports32c79.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.752450%12 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked SaD Esports33c78.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.641127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked SaD Esports24c78.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3311735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c74.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Shopify Rebellion Black54c73.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked SaD Esports42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4310633%35 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cbd…0438backed SaD Esports32c67.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Shopify Rebellion Black75c66.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SaD Esports56c65.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.891,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ab…14e7backed SaD Esports35c65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.21850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4916…f78fbacked SaD Esports47c63.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.892128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black66c60.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Shopify Rebellion Black66c58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.289744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Shopify Rebellion Black69c57.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6114345.5%65 W · 78 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed SaD Esports47c56.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.757949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.