TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89ab…14e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.5
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$36.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked maybe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.71
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$34
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)backed MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$15.8
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)backed Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-Vexa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$45.85
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$38.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.6
Dota 2: Team AION vs Hive - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Team AION vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Dota 2: Team AION vs Hive - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.4
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked BALU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$26.8
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: X-CAST vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked X-CAST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Mandatory vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Cbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.8
Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Valorant: Team Solid vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Valorant: Mandatory vs la Masia - Map 2 Winnerbacked la Masia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$29.9
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15
Valorant: University War vs 9z Team (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Playoffsbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+201.5%+$61.53
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$42.2
Valorant: University War vs 9z Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$14.48
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winnerbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$66
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+174%+$50.8
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.19
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Mallorca Championships: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$72.93
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.39
ITF Brussels: Remy Dugardin vs Tim Handelbacked Tim Handel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Set 1 Winner: Kudermetova vs Ponchetbacked Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68
Set Handicap: Evans (-1.5) vs Prado (+1.5)backed Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$81.2
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Anton Matusevich vs Rei Sakamotobacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$72.98
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.19
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.8
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.