CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64d62acb918199daeacc82290908967576b5a96eae69b8794454f451df1021f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 77c | 2,963$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.82 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Isurus | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Isurus | 13c | 1,671$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 18c | 1,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Imperial | 79c | 988.16$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Isurus | 4c | 949.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Isurus | 31c | 907.53$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.34 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Imperial | 77c | 679.33$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Imperial | 77c | 615.4$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Isurus | 23c | 563.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Isurus | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus | 18c | 409.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Imperial | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Imperial | 73c | 398.14$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Isurus | 16c | 394.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus | 22c | 369.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Isurus | 22c | 349.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Isurus | 14c | 329.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Isurus | 24c | 313.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Isurus | 11c | 306.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Isurus | 26c | 299$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Imperial | 77c | 281.42$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Isurus | 24c | 281$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 17c | 275.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed Isurus | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Imperial | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 394 | 55.3%218 W · 176 L | +17.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Isurus | 25c | 198.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isurus | 26c | 180.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Isurus | 15c | 159.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Isurus | 26c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial | 65c | 140.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Isurus | 17c | 139.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Isurus | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Isurus | 31c | 128.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Isurus | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Isurus | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Isurus | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 23c | 99.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isurus | 37c | 85.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Imperial | 80c | 71.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…14fcbacked Isurus | 27c | 71.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed Isurus | 27c | 70.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 25c | 66.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Isurus | 19c | 66.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Imperial | 79c | 64.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 597 | 32.2%192 W · 405 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Isurus | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Isurus | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Imperial | 61c | 57.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Isurus | 23c | 56.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Imperial | 73c | 54.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Isurus | 37c | 54.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Imperial | 80c | 53.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Imperial | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Isurus | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Imperial | 57c | 45.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | +15.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Isurus | 39c | 39.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Imperial | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…bf2dbacked Imperial | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Imperial | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Imperial | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Imperial | 67c | 24.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Imperial | 52c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 285 | 61.1%174 W · 111 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Imperial | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 182 | 81.3%148 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…f16dbacked Imperial | 75c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Imperial | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.