CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x462e61a5cc73b6af883edf70747010b1118b66671264f76f414d7a93341c297e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 77c | 3,252$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Isurus | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial | 70c | 1,682$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.23 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isurus | 23c | 1,652$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Isurus | 37c | 1,449$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Isurus | 35c | 861.85$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Isurus | 22c | 730.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Isurus | 28c | 720.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 77c | 696.05$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Imperial | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Imperial | 77c | 649.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Isurus | 43c | 611.95$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.79 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Isurus | 26c | 570.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Isurus | 26c | 561.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Isurus | 33c | 549.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Isurus | 20c | 536.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Isurus | 23c | 530.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Isurus | 33c | 505.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Imperial | 73c | 486.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Isurus | 25c | 468.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Isurus | 25c | 451$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Imperial | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Isurus | 23c | 390.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 63c | 388$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 74c | 333.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 71c | 312.15$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Imperial | 63c | 270.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Isurus | 25c | 259.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Imperial | 70c | 257.59$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Isurus | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 18c | 247.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Isurus | 12c | 172.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Isurus | 20c | 164$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Isurus | 23c | 162$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Isurus | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 22c | 142.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 79c | 140.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Imperial | 73c | 133.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 67c | 123.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Isurus | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus | 19c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…e948backed Isurus | 26c | 110.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Isurus | 20c | 108.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Isurus | 23c | 104.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Isurus | 23c | 100.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Isurus | 31c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Isurus | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Isurus | 27c | 72.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Isurus | 18c | 72.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…eea0backed Isurus | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Isurus | 31c | 61.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Imperial | 71c | 56.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Imperial | 79c | 56.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Isurus | 23c | 52.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Isurus | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Isurus | 26c | 47.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Imperial | 76c | 43.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Imperial | 73c | 41.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed Isurus | 30c | 38.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 66c | 34.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Imperial | 62c | 21.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Imperial | 77c | 20.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…bf2dbacked Imperial | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Imperial | 74c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Imperial | 77c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Imperial | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Imperial | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.