CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8992f3d2e35624400439def76ea75756ea78c153317c781650f0a8292a5f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 67c | 5,578$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Over | 33c | 1,136$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 67c | 923.08$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.62 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 67c | 745.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 68c | 735.77$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.41 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 33c | 588.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 32c | 573.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 484.37$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 33c | 465$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 33c | 460$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Over | 30c | 457.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 20c | 415.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…eb3ebacked Under | 70c | 328.1$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Over | 31c | 312.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 302.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Over | 33c | 278.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 80c | 245$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Over | 35c | 237$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Over | 33c | 203.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 35c | 178.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 80c | 168.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Over | 32c | 167.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Over | 30c | 154$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Over | 31c | 125.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 75c | 104.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…ac81backed Over | 34c | 102.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 32c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 32c | 87.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 66c | 82.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked Over | 34c | 75.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 30c | 65.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 32c | 62.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Over | 32c | 54.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1c46backed Over | 31c | 46.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 64c | 46.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 68c | 44.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 38c | 42.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 29c | 39.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Over | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 36c | 32.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 70c | 23.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 59c | 20.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 67c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 70c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.