CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87fdc2f8069425ed8c8a7314a3b247610d4fd99d6f5d419c3bc1516ea7a6d57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 61c | 5,612$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.04 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 62c | 2,677$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.17 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Isurus | 38c | 1,162$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.35 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Isurus | 36c | 732.31$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Isurus | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Imperial | 61c | 660.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Isurus | 41c | 547.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Isurus | 37c | 501.86$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.69 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Isurus | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Isurus | 37c | 447.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Isurus | 41c | 350$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Isurus | 41c | 348.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Isurus | 41c | 330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Isurus | 37c | 304.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Imperial | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Isurus | 39c | 288.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Isurus | 37c | 274.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Isurus | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Isurus | 37c | 237$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Isurus | 40c | 231.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Isurus | 44c | 225.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Isurus | 40c | 223.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Isurus | 38c | 219.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Isurus | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked Isurus | 36c | 194.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Isurus | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Isurus | 45c | 159.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…de5cbacked Isurus | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Isurus | 38c | 108.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Isurus | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Isurus | 39c | 83.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Isurus | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Isurus | 42c | 48.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Imperial | 64c | 48.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Imperial | 63c | 48.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 40c | 47.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Imperial | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Isurus | 38c | 40.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…5336backed Isurus | 37c | 34.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Isurus | 39c | 34.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Isurus | 39c | 30.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked Isurus | 39c | 30.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.