Lol · resolved market
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ec9802af170558186414f9f136fe7de188848692f9508d94d44e2ba5c17ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- C9of DK, C9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aec…aff7backed C9 | 18c | 4,556$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed C9 | 16c | 4,500$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.44 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…c18dbacked DK | 1c | 4,089$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked C9 | 18c | 3,457$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.44 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed C9 | 21c | 2,497$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.82 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed C9 | 16c | 2,209$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.99 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed C9 | 15c | 2,000$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.91 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed C9 | 17c | 1,844$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.84 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed C9 | 59c | 1,838$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.48 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked C9 | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.71 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed C9 | 18c | 1,120$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed DK | 32c | 1,047$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked C9 | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed C9 | 62c | 982.07$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed C9 | 19c | 966$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.53 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed C9 | 17c | 951$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.33 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed C9 | 17c | 932.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.26 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed C9 | 16c | 889.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.59 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed DK | 12c | 834.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed DK | 67c | 755.93$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.87 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked DK | 69c | 750.93$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.38 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed DK | 76c | 655.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 236 | 72%170 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked C9 | 16c | 617.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.94 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…ddbfbacked C9 | 18c | 615.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 365 | 52.6%192 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed DK | 76c | 594.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.23 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed C9 | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked C9 | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed C9 | 16c | 518.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.75 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed DK | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed C9 | 19c | 456.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.82 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed C9 | 74c | 363.79$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed DK | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked C9 | 18c | 356$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked C9 | 18c | 345.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed C9 | 18c | 320.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed DK | 41c | 270.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked C9 | 17c | 264.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed C9 | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed C9 | 16c | 220$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed C9 | 24c | 209.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 212 | 49.5%105 W · 107 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked C9 | 19c | 206.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed C9 | 16c | 203.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked DK | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…b342backed DK | 28c | 174.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…4122backed DK | 51c | 149.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked C9 | 17c | 149.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed C9 | 16c | 139.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…354ebacked C9 | 18c | 139.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed C9 | 16c | 129.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed C9 | 12c | 122$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed DK | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed C9 | 12c | 118$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed C9 | 18c | 105$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 355 | 16.3%58 W · 297 L | -25.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked C9 | 14c | 92.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed C9 | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked DK | 56c | 89.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed DK | 45c | 79.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed C9 | 54c | 78.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed DK | 72c | 76.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked DK | 72c | 69.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 65%262 W · 141 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed C9 | 76c | 65.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed DK | 22c | 54.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…26e6backed DK | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…245ebacked C9 | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 952 | 53.8%512 W · 440 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed DK | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…8768backed C9 | 80c | 44.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…af54backed C9 | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…ea02backed DK | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed DK | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…b968backed C9 | 62c | 32.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 134 | 70.9%95 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked DK | 60c | 26.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed C9 | 59c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed C9 | 77c | 20.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked DK | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed DK | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.