TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa3af…b7a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$20.7
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74%+$56.99
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$184.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+105%+$961.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$3,133.46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$221.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$21.38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$27.34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.81
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.04
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52%+$27.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.14
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$9.29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$157.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.4
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+679.8%+$171,162.15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.71
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$895.36
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$18.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.26
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.81
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$14.07
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.04
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.51
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$23.61
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$15.06
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.75
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.09
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$152.4
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.8
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$15.81
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.2
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$18.84
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.64
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.79
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$6.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$26.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$16.17
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$4.78
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$14.8
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9backed DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.2
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$82.45
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+148.3%+$21.96
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$65.02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+225.7%+$40.19
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$54.7
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$13.45
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$12.47
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$14.87
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$33.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$19.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53%+$15.25
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.74
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.85
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.92
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.52
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$6.86
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$3.59
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$5.01
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$12.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.85
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$85.45
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$15.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$3.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+286.2%+$100.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$32.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$135.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$11.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.