TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Mysticsof Toronto Tempo, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$421,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Toronto Tempo7c97,643$6,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,652.329318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Tempo12c14,554$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.1626147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo9c14,238$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.450646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Toronto Tempo39c12,465$4,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.7112144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Tempo44c9,908$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.4114353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo39c8,538$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.2634726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo43c7,216$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.5936750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Toronto Tempo13c7,115$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.568228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo8c7,111$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.8750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Washington Mystics67c7,031$4,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.435466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics59c6,729$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.821,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo9c6,616$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.4637850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics73c6,452$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.0474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Toronto Tempo51c5,952$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.55050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Tempo0c5,800$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Toronto Tempo23c5,100$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.999354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics56c5,078$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.3236154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics49c4,986$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.246247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Tempo2c4,714$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.286735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Toronto Tempo2c4,100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2144915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Toronto Tempo9c3,611$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Toronto Tempo56c3,469$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.0110463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics53c3,420$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.7183748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo46c3,341$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.6510338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed0…6f18backed Washington Mystics57c3,147$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.173250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Tempo47c2,794$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.1132049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Toronto Tempo19c2,737$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51712234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Washington Mystics50c2,230$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.964450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Toronto Tempo2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Toronto Tempo51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Tempo39c1,940$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.5310858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics54c1,912$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.1640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Toronto Tempo28c1,846$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.765149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Mystics52c1,845$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.5714346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Washington Mystics56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.811464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Toronto Tempo3c1,788$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Toronto Tempo3c1,600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Washington Mystics54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7361770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Toronto Tempo46c1,533$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.144148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Washington Mystics50c1,520$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.96549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Toronto Tempo54c1,437$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Mystics72c1,385$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.55538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Washington Mystics49c1,383$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Tempo21c1,312$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5630347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics52c1,274$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.6585158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Toronto Tempo36c1,262$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.794156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Toronto Tempo50c1,246$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.599549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Toronto Tempo24c1,202$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.052744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed Toronto Tempo59c1,186$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics76c1,178$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Toronto Tempo31c1,145$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.142615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Washington Mystics49c1,136$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.5341145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Toronto Tempo26c1,116$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.162030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…f753backed Toronto Tempo76c1,111$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Washington Mystics49c1,033$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Washington Mystics49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4113048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Washington Mystics55c1,006$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.638146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Tempo20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Toronto Tempo1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf1…0089backed Washington Mystics55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Toronto Tempo25c999.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Toronto Tempo44c905$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.454852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Toronto Tempo31c899.47$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.313534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Tempo49c864.56$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3923245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Toronto Tempo23c860.57$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.938154.3%44 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Toronto Tempo12c841.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.268457.1%48 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Tempo4c797.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1331043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Tempo5c777$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.859129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Toronto Tempo26c730.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b1…c1cfbacked Toronto Tempo43c680.19$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Washington Mystics50c646.43$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.482152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Toronto Tempo16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Toronto Tempo18c619.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7615346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Washington Mystics49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30611250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Toronto Tempo23c600$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.973053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Washington Mystics50c585.09$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.554967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x920b…5d59backed Washington Mystics59c577.83$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo31c573.82$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2119428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Washington Mystics57c571.09$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1223049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Toronto Tempo7c569.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.255969.5%41 W · 18 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Toronto Tempo37c561.19$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3119031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Toronto Tempo48c550.18$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.494365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics50c526.6$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Toronto Tempo43c520.45$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5316633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa01a…3aeebacked Toronto Tempo51c499.38$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Toronto Tempo42c474.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Toronto Tempo9c474$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.662634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Toronto Tempo21c465.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010244.1%45 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics56c462.33$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Toronto Tempo50c458.27$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Tempo47c431.06$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9731448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Toronto Tempo34c428$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.14148.8%20 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Toronto Tempo34c428$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.14746.8%22 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e9…e343backed Washington Mystics54c419.94$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Tempo33c419.83$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3919458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Toronto Tempo9c416.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4710935.8%39 W · 70 L-13.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a4b…1f22backed Toronto Tempo51c399.64$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Washington Mystics48c390.06$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.94353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Toronto Tempo46c386$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Washington Mystics78c379.86$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.992846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.