WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32c42bc63f8a44c7a2bec2683ccfff601060f80681b9e564e03a614307ced97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Under | 49c | 15,872$7,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,797.06 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 57c | 3,506$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.61 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 3,383$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.44 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 3,269$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.7 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 50c | 1,899$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.53 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Over | 16c | 1,803$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.21 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,454$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.51 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,368$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 1,172$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.96 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 1,014$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.27 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 961.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 840$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 837.31$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.09 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc956…68e0backed Under | 46c | 661.8$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 55c | 542.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 50c | 502$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 429.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Under | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 30c | 215$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 40c | 192.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 68c | 147.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 56c | 132.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 36c | 131$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 59c | 123.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 28c | 118.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 30c | 117.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 14c | 99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 52c | 88.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 26c | 77.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 43c | 77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 22c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 47.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 46.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over | 39c | 39.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 28.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 57c | 27.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…609cbacked Under | 75c | 19.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.