WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba3a518f07650c663df943c11338557e904a34aeb49fdbc035c42a9e938fced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Washington Mystics, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 14,559$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.07 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 8,400$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 6,312$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.37 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 4,535$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.99 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 4,152$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.16 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 3,718$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.65 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 3,139$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 2,899$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,751$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,921$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.7 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 1,869$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,634$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,456$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,408$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 1,170$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.12 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 943.33$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 839.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 822$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 657.78$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 531.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 525.78$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 522.19$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 485.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 415.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 381.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 311.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 280$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 34c | 202.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 196.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Tempo | 62c | 157.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 150.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Tempo | 66c | 132.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 124.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 114.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 100.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 86.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Toronto Tempo | 67c | 78.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 72.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Tempo | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Toronto Tempo | 66c | 64.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 59.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…d0a8backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 39.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…7ff1backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 37.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 36.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Toronto Tempo | 63c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d92…9748backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.