WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd7018f30a9eff639980316ca2a36189814ac713f4717e9f69f6656229a457f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 50c | 6,108$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 6,108$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 1,475$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.61 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 1,260$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Over | 48c | 1,227$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 1,202$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.08 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 975.76$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 964.13$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.7 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 50c | 626.11$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 622.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.58 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 45c | 460.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 50c | 411.58$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 32c | 360$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 301.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 297.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 21c | 234$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…d50ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 50c | 178.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 10c | 178.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 10c | 164.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 30c | 130.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 43c | 106.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 98.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 31c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 76c | 65.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 62.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Under | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Under | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 38.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 53c | 33.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 53c | 31.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.