South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58063b7ddf089755af3178ce010bbfd68455d24a345ca63c3ceeeca9dd49affc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 59c | 6,031$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.42 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 33c | 3,032$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,740$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 940.72$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 53c | 556.2$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 58c | 346.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 41c | 293$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 194.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 33c | 152.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 67c | 98.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…e324backed Under | 55c | 72.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…b1ffbacked Over | 67c | 71.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…c016backed Over | 51c | 69.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…c9ffbacked Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9a49backed Over | 65c | 65.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 33c | 65.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…eadebacked Over | 65c | 59.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 39c | 44.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 61c | 44.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 38c | 42.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed Over | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 30.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…0728backed Over | 70c | 21.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 66c | 18.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.