Middle East · resolved market
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeab83146920be8f52b52fdbcb3464b24dc553f7b47eb4249243385b0faad271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,905,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,332,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,905,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,032 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 17c | 349,876$58,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,824.04 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…c860backed Yes | 8c | 252,530$20,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,161.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…6771backed Yes | 8c | 251,393$20,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,295.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 14c | 212,997$29,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,516.16 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 158,995$16,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,842.75 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 16c | 144,054$23,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,366.06 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 141,499$19,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,582.16 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…8ce2backed Yes | 1c | 134,974$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 14c | 123,805$17,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,344.28 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 16c | 107,433$16,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,726.11 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…ffcdbacked Yes | 3c | 98,232$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 20c | 88,032$17,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,647.09 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 17c | 87,245$14,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,706.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 15c | 69,915$10,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,541.33 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…e0c5backed Yes | 9c | 69,647$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.87 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 12c | 67,053$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.74 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 19c | 56,210$10,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,823.95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 5c | 47,258$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.52 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 15c | 46,907$7,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,115.38 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 19c | 42,814$8,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,138.49 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 17c | 37,032$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.95 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 17c | 30,203$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.17 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 27,204$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.88 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 19c | 26,949$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.52 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 23c | 25,565$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,785.53 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked No | 78c | 25,415$19,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 18c | 25,092$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.82 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3660…7810backed No | 77c | 25,066$19,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 18c | 23,838$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.89 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 13c | 18,955$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 13c | 18,738$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.11 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 24c | 18,609$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.25 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 10c | 18,273$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.78 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 74c | 17,731$13,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.55 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 13c | 16,675$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.88 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 20c | 15,759$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.07 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 24c | 15,206$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.05 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…1a88backed Yes | 20c | 15,149$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed Yes | 20c | 13,986$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 16c | 13,718$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.51 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 12c | 13,011$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…f12fbacked Yes | 18c | 12,925$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 23c | 12,407$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.56 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…0fc7backed No | 75c | 12,272$9,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.05 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 10c | 11,094$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.58 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 15c | 11,061$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.56 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 18c | 10,748$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.33 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 13c | 10,596$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.39 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 77c | 10,009$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 14c | 10,003$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.56 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 14c | 9,762$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.87 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 13c | 9,500$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 15c | 9,315$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.14 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…4c93backed Yes | 16c | 9,294$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 25c | 9,215$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.38 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 15c | 9,206$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.56 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 23c | 9,004$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.63 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…b9ccbacked Yes | 7c | 8,877$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…faffbacked Yes | 6c | 8,570$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed No | 75c | 8,239$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 14c | 8,200$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.48 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 24c | 8,151$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.04 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 24c | 8,079$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.35 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 23c | 8,001$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a15…9d34backed Yes | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,446$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 15c | 7,205$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.45 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 19c | 7,194$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.55 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 77c | 7,025$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.22 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…9de4backed No | 75c | 6,785$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…add8backed No | 75c | 6,606$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 4c | 6,596$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…325fbacked No | 78c | 6,266$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 17c | 6,208$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 18c | 6,070$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.76 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 11c | 6,064$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 8c | 5,818$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.79 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1912backed No | 77c | 5,737$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 10c | 5,628$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.79 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 18c | 5,496$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 14c | 5,383$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.08 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 15c | 5,028$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.19 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 18c | 4,938$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.65 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 24c | 4,920$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 11c | 4,800$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.97 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 4,777$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.15 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 80c | 4,632$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.24 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…8b84backed No | 74c | 4,620$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.63 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 19c | 4,577$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.46 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…2c4cbacked No | 75c | 4,559$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.18 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 17c | 4,522$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.02 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 17c | 4,503$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.02 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 6c | 4,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed Yes | 7c | 4,155$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…a6a0backed No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 4c | 3,955$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ae…3567backed Yes | 15c | 3,954$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.64 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 3,899$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.57 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.