TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc80f…93c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
393
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT13022.3%29 W · 101 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,601.66
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.94
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$960.87
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+910.1%+$360.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,435.33
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$280
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$170
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,069.71
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.65
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6654.5%36 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$817.83
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$971
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$299
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.4
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.6
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+111%+$1,073.06
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.13
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$571.47
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$2,471.93
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$296
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.2
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$406.99
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$1,083.99
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$716.38
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$140.15
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$773.06
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$118.4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,907Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.4%+$1,628.45
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$112
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+284.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,287.18
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695.52
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.83
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+6,983.7%+$3,208.66
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.98
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$276.2
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$201.46
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$255.08
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36.84
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$898.54
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$891.81
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$108.27
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.74
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.16
Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.43
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Croatia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Timothy Castagne be in Belgium's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.36
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.71
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.37
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$11.43
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+167.4%+$206.09
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$340.03
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+161.6%+$115.97
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$336.43
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+577.3%+$865.17
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.5
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.99
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.1
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,641.62
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+254.1%+$1,291.6
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,764Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$3,057.77
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.28
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$165.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$908.88
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$44.1
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.99
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$257.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$484.38
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+765%+$402.2
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wildcard make playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$57.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$343.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$375.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs RED Canids (BO1)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs The Huns Esports (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.7
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.2
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$67
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.58
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.05
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$421.79
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+222.6%+$68.99
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.19
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.36
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.71
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.55
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+142.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+345.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+350.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.37
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.88
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$167.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+337.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+525%+$672
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+150%+$124.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+232.5%+$635.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emiliano Grillo finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+39.7%+$189.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DetonatioN FocusMe Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2backed U 1.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.