UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d26ead42190466da9518cad3186d2cd7c1548dede3e1aaa3c480a77e4742d8

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Asplundof Asplund, Sharaf
Resolved: Dec 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $475,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $503,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,820 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Sharaf	32c	240,915$76,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,853.76	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Asplund	68c	153,394$104,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,027.85	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Asplund	68c	68,000$46,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,759.97	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Sharaf	32c	50,000$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,999.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Asplund	68c	30,689$20,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,820.32	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Asplund	68c	30,363$20,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,716	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Sharaf	33c	15,128$4,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,992.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Sharaf	34c	15,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Sharaf	34c	14,706$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Asplund	69c	14,381$9,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,487.38	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Sharaf	32c	11,053$3,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,537	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Asplund	68c	10,305$7,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,297.55	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Asplund	67c	10,212$6,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,369.96	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Asplund	69c	9,375$6,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.41	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Asplund	69c	8,574$5,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,657.91	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Sharaf	32c	8,187$2,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.33	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Asplund	67c	8,080$5,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,666.3	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Asplund	68c	8,062$5,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,579.72	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97af…9bc6backed Asplund	68c	6,657$4,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,130.28	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb794…3143backed Sharaf	32c	5,657$1,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,810.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Sharaf	32c	5,300$1,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Asplund	68c	5,000$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Sharaf	31c	4,839$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharaf	32c	4,434$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.81	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Asplund	67c	4,212$2,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.76	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Sharaf	32c	4,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Sharaf	33c	3,187$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.72	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Sharaf	31c	3,001$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.34	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Asplund	68c	2,500$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Sharaf	32c	2,466$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.16	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Sharaf	30c	2,313$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.25	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Sharaf	32c	2,188$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Sharaf	32c	2,078$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sharaf	33c	2,038$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.02	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Sharaf	31c	2,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.99	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sharaf	31c	1,997$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.5	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Sharaf	34c	1,700$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Sharaf	32c	1,588$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Asplund	68c	1,571$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.88	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Sharaf	32c	1,563$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Sharaf	33c	1,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Asplund	68c	1,238$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.19	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Sharaf	32c	1,202$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.98	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	49cpaid	+105.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Asplund	68c	1,200$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Asplund	67c	1,200$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.89	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Asplund	68c	1,010$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.3	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Sharaf	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Sharaf	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Asplund	68c	1,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sharaf	32c	946$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Sharaf	33c	912.15$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.63	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Sharaf	11c	884.76$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.89	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Sharaf	32c	869.06$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.1	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Asplund	67c	821$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.93	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Sharaf	34c	764$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Sharaf	32c	718.31$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.86	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sharaf	14c	640.75$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.18	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sharaf	31c	635.8$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.1	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Asplund	66c	615.55$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.29	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Sharaf	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Asplund	69c	571.2$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.07	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…5e3ebacked Sharaf	32c	531.25$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sharaf	10c	524.39$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.89	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1fe0…fa45backed Sharaf	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Sharaf	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Asplund	68c	500$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Asplund	69c	489.49$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.74	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+128.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Sharaf	27c	481.48$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.99	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Asplund	69c	455.54$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.22	132	67.4%89 W · 43 L	+11.4wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb009…72f0backed Sharaf	32c	444$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Sharaf	34c	438$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.06	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Sharaf	32c	435$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Sharaf	32c	435$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Sharaf	32c	420$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efc…478fbacked Asplund	68c	400$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f4…874abacked Sharaf	32c	390.44$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Sharaf	32c	350$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb937…f2c5backed Asplund	69c	326.09$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.09	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Sharaf	34c	314.25$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.91	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+6.5wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Sharaf	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Sharaf	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Sharaf	32c	308$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.72	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Asplund	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Asplund	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Asplund	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3da…f328backed Asplund	69c	297.1$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.1	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…a8fcbacked Sharaf	34c	296.62$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38eb…a211backed Asplund	68c	296.15$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.77	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Asplund	68c	294.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Asplund	69c	289.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.86	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Asplund	69c	275$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Asplund	66c	270$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.93	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdd…11bebacked Asplund	67c	263.83$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.93	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Sharaf	39c	259.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4178…bb11backed Sharaf	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Sharaf	32c	222$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.04	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Asplund	69c	221.77$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.75	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02dc…ef17backed Sharaf	33c	220$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.6	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Sharaf	33c	212.12$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Asplund	69c	203.95$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.31	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
Will Sean Sharaf win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event