TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88f4…874a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$1,459.49
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
TCU vs. BYUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Florida Gators vs. Ole Missbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Spread: Michigan (-10.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$392.86
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indianabacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Texas (-1.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$573.12
Spread: Alabama (-12.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Kennesaw State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Mississippi State vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+46%+$464.61
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Michigan (-5.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&Mbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
South Carolina vs. LSUbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Michigan vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Tennessee beat Oklahoma by 7 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$42
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sonny Styles be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$499.23
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$837.35
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,153.26
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$576.51
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$532.08
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$83.93
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$553.85
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,039.38
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$193.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+147.8%+$609.82
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.26
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.71
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.71
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.53
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$581.85
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.56
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.81
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$223.77
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$302.69
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$537.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.