College Football · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9b6a14d19857d5b3a12b27f262ec5864016c410a4e939325106e94cb1fd7fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Wisconsin Badgers, Indiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 6,791$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.46 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 4,630$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 4,310$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 3,845$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Wisconsin Badgers | 1c | 2,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…2f71backed Wisconsin Badgers | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 1,789$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 1,765$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 1,630$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 1,497$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 1,317$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 1,195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…432cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 1,012$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 729.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 605.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 590$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 511.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…1f21backed Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 437$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 416.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 414.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 367.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 345.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…616cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 254.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…3e44backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indianathis page
- O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana (-28.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Indiana (-29.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Indiana (-30.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana: O/U 43.5Under won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana: O/U 44.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.