TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75a0…be02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100.6%+$80.51
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72.01
1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$121.62
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$93.6
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Spread: 49ers (-10.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$90.36
Spread: 49ers (-9.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$126.77
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.6%+$6.1
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$115
1H Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+84.9%+$140.09
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-10.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$404.64
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$297.84
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$130.1
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$215.5
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132%+$132.02
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250.12
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$405.58
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.08
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+554.3%+$401.46
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+97.1%+$109.67
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$85.89
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+211.1%+$63.33
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$130.93
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.18
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-6.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52.15
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Louisville Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+30%+$22.48
Clemson Tigers vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$790.55
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$115.78
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$93.28
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$35.27
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$178
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$127
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$188
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$62.42
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$126.27
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.84
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$95.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tennessee (-4.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Spread: Vanderbilt (-8.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$135.31
Spread: Alabama (-5.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$305
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indianabacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$290.05
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Kentucky vs. Auburn: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+163.4%+$326.71
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.77
Missouri vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$102.98
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$207.76
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$275
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.97
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.69
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$480.52
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$78.94
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+552.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+552.2%+$1,360.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+279.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+279.3%+$279.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.