MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b516dbec885c7810130ea84caf3a753c42ca98120e5f17f4fbc9988c007c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Los Angeles Dodgers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 45,078$20,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,470.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 23,744$12,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.04 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 15,823$8,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,217.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 13,544$7,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.35 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 8,211$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 8,145$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 7,224$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.33 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 4,553$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,000$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.97 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 3,198$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 2,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.53 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,256$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 2,082$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,863$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 1,605$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.65 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,520$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 1,484$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 1,295$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.26 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,023$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.37 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 19c | 1,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7607backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 836.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 629$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 533.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 528.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 465.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 459.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 439.01$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.39 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 396.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 314.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 284.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…661abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 278.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 272$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 211.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 208.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 201.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…fb0abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 135.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 114.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 102.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 94.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 66.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…ce81backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 42.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 39.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…b631backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 33.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…fabcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 31.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…7565backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.