MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fb8ccb1120d36b562b7640df1ea359f721452628f493e4134d8a0422fff172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Under | 53c | 77,745$41,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,170.33 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Over | 46c | 17,392$8,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,084.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 59c | 15,114$8,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,155.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 14,838$7,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840.36 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 46c | 10,679$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 46c | 10,106$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.05 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 10,094$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,152.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Over | 46c | 9,300$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.3 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Over | 47c | 7,105$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 46c | 6,450$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.9 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 4,886$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.49 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 38c | 4,595$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.08 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 47c | 4,270$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.16 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Over | 7c | 4,194$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 39c | 4,193$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,935$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.1 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 47c | 3,665$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 46c | 1,602$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 46c | 1,200$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Over | 67c | 919$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.73 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Over | 3c | 747$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 4c | 654.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Over | 46c | 640.69$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 46c | 571$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Over | 47c | 525.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.09 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…4fabbacked Under | 54c | 520.37$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Over | 46c | 475.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Over | 47c | 429.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 47c | 359.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Over | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Over | 46c | 295.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Over | 46c | 251.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 236.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 47c | 228.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Over | 46c | 214.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Over | 46c | 186.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 47c | 179.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 46c | 169$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Under | 38c | 155.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 46c | 119.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 99.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 46c | 96.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…0275backed Over | 48c | 93.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Under | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 46c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Under | 54c | 51.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 46c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc8…2feebacked Over | 46c | 43.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…4329backed Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a28bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…21efbacked Under | 54c | 27.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.