MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838162b7ed9eec6f8d6fa9bcd8dbbbf346a1e24d539d3ef724783e4ede4940bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,026,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,572,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,026,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 904 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Blue Jays | 36c | 1,500,400$539,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961,240.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Dodgers | 64c | 873,939$559,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559,705.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dodgers | 64c | 810,000$519,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519,409.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Blue Jays | 36c | 658,681$236,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422,496.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Blue Jays | 56c | 311,000$173,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,085.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Dodgers | 37c | 213,536$78,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,819.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dodgers | 64c | 150,138$95,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,973.22 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 44c | 123,756$54,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,420.16 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 64c | 117,006$74,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,579.17 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Dodgers | 65c | 104,658$68,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,067.77 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Dodgers | 64c | 93,396$59,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,929.79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 64c | 85,000$54,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,399.96 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 50c | 84,000$41,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,914 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Dodgers | 64c | 82,134$52,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,602.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Blue Jays | 36c | 60,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Blue Jays | 36c | 33,588$12,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,531.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers | 41c | 32,591$13,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,432.74 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 36c | 31,895$11,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,505.17 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 35c | 31,278$10,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,436.91 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dodgers | 1c | 30,324$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Blue Jays | 42c | 28,822$11,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,847.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Blue Jays | 74c | 27,704$20,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 3c | 27,545$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.24 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 18c | 26,899$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.62 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blue Jays | 57c | 25,377$14,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,034.35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blue Jays | 35c | 22,361$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,534.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Dodgers | 64c | 20,715$13,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,257.32 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…84bcbacked Dodgers | 13c | 20,241$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers | 65c | 20,015$13,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,009.75 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d30bbacked Dodgers | 65c | 16,254$10,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,564.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 36c | 16,204$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,321.86 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…ca29backed Blue Jays | 44c | 15,713$6,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Blue Jays | 36c | 15,193$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,693.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Dodgers | 64c | 15,189$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Dodgers | 66c | 14,660$9,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,638 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 42c | 13,971$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,107.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 13,882$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,884.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…f562backed Blue Jays | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Blue Jays | 36c | 11,605$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,427.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dodgers | 15c | 11,417$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.55 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…9aaabacked Blue Jays | 36c | 11,400$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 41c | 10,836$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4c…507ebacked Dodgers | 50c | 10,751$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Dodgers | 64c | 10,446$6,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,685.16 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 10,268$6,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,353.66 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Dodgers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Dodgers | 3c | 10,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Dodgers | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.99 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Blue Jays | 36c | 10,000$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…02d7backed Dodgers | 65c | 9,100$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dodgers | 64c | 9,000$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,796 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Blue Jays | 36c | 9,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jays | 35c | 9,000$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Blue Jays | 35c | 8,798$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,718.43 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…c60dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 8,745$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,596.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 4c | 8,368$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Dodgers | 64c | 8,123$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 8,111$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.35 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…3b5abacked Blue Jays | 35c | 7,809$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe9…fd0ebacked Dodgers | 65c | 7,800$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Dodgers | 45c | 7,787$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 28c | 7,786$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dodgers | 34c | 7,700$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.49 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf200…cf95backed Dodgers | 64c | 7,518$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Dodgers | 59c | 7,087$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Dodgers | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…b19dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 6,500$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 1c | 6,470$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…c62fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 6,337$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…429dbacked Dodgers | 2c | 6,334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Dodgers | 33c | 6,214$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Blue Jays | 35c | 6,200$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 5,741$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.13 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Blue Jays | 35c | 5,721$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a28bbacked Dodgers | 4c | 5,710$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Blue Jays | 35c | 5,650$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 46cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 36c | 5,525$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.86 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 3c | 5,311$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…26a3backed Blue Jays | 36c | 5,300$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…56b0backed Dodgers | 65c | 5,300$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Dodgers | 43c | 5,263$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.09 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Dodgers | 63c | 5,183$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers | 64c | 5,125$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.47 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Blue Jays | 35c | 5,058$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.59 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Dodgers | 64c | 5,000$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…c6c6backed Blue Jays | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a9…69e7backed Dodgers | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Blue Jays | 41c | 4,967$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Dodgers | 10c | 4,950$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…2890backed Dodgers | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad56…93dabacked Blue Jays | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…33e7backed Dodgers | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 4,444$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.44 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Dodgers | 64c | 4,408$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.15 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 62c | 4,400$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dodgers | 1c | 4,361$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 4,353$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…a7ecbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 4,259$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…beefbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 4,209$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Dodgersthis page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.