TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c72…8b8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT5135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,095
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.3
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Heat (-10.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$180
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$192.5
Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69.99
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$240
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$208
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$92.5
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$107.5
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+233.3%+$175
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+109.3%+$235
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$174.49
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$89.99
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$79
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$565
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$319.5
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,275.91
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$162
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$653.86
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$115
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$300
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$105
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$160
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.6
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.2
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$243
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.26
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+67.2%+$107.04
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.64
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$485
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$405
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+216.6%+$1,833.32
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+306.5%+$377
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.2
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.95
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.4%+$255.33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$215.92
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$659.99
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$607.99
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.84
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.04
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$87.5
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$176.5
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+300%+$412.49
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$295
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$578
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.