NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c23dc2b9e39806471fcb88722b554e305ab698529292156abfd0fcf4aa9be1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Heat, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,080,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,444,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,080,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 898 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked Heat | 32c | 1,845,975$588,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588,027.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Knicks | 68c | 1,453,003$988,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464,960.84 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…f5b5backed Heat | 33c | 411,092$134,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,610.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Knicks | 70c | 292,630$204,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,859.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Knicks | 68c | 129,706$88,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,199.88 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 34c | 104,485$35,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,036.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 30c | 71,483$21,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,445 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Knicks | 69c | 70,074$48,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,722.98 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Knicks | 69c | 54,220$37,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,952.82 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 34c | 50,188$17,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,010.28 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Knicks | 68c | 47,877$32,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,103.99 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Heat | 33c | 39,999$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.82 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 67c | 33,471$22,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,937.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Knicks | 74c | 30,023$22,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.42 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 68c | 29,589$20,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,524.88 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks | 69c | 29,093$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,092.97 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks | 65c | 26,565$17,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,174.09 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Heat | 20c | 25,031$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.64 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Heat | 31c | 25,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,750 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 66c | 22,874$15,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,817.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Knicks | 67c | 21,628$14,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,128.93 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks | 67c | 20,005$13,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.45 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 68c | 18,279$12,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 5c | 17,652$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.53 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks | 69c | 17,554$12,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.56 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 68c | 17,158$11,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks | 67c | 16,804$11,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.49 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Heat | 31c | 16,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Heat | 32c | 15,439$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Knicks | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Heat | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.95 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Knicks | 67c | 14,227$9,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.77 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Knicks | 68c | 13,104$8,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.95 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 68c | 12,503$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.36 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Knicks | 67c | 12,359$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.6 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 67c | 10,294$6,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Heat | 33c | 10,176$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.28 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks | 67c | 10,065$6,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.44 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Heat | 27c | 10,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Heat | 32c | 9,312$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Heat | 12c | 9,055$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.56 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Knicks | 69c | 9,000$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.98 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Knicks | 65c | 7,594$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.92 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…a3b7backed Knicks | 69c | 7,580$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…984ebacked Heat | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 66c | 6,864$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.68 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 31c | 6,500$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Knicks | 67c | 6,160$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.8 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Heat | 11c | 6,099$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.92 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Knicks | 68c | 6,095$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Heat | 32c | 6,025$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.78 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Heat | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Heat | 26c | 5,936$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.11 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Knicks | 68c | 5,881$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 5,843$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 41c | 5,565$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.95 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Knicks | 69c | 5,500$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks | 64c | 5,122$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.34 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 29c | 5,000$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.75 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 32c | 4,776$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Heat | 32c | 4,774$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Knicks | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…d222backed Knicks | 67c | 4,179$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…bdc8backed Heat | 33c | 4,179$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 32c | 4,100$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…7859backed Heat | 29c | 3,931$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 30c | 3,725$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 8c | 3,604$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Heat | 31c | 3,550$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Knicks | 60c | 3,310$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.9 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Heat | 0c | 3,254$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Heat | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 66c | 3,188$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.32 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Knicks | 69c | 3,183$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.73 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Knicks | 68c | 3,151$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.47 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Heat | 33c | 3,121$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…f78ebacked Knicks | 68c | 3,088$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks | 76c | 2,798$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.85 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Knicks | 70c | 2,752$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 68c | 2,743$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Heat | 42c | 2,684$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.26 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Heat | 3c | 2,668$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Heat | 33c | 2,584$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Heat | 40c | 2,522$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 31c | 2,520$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.82 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 33c | 2,500$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.43 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…2314backed Heat | 16c | 2,460$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Heat | 25c | 2,394$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.5 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Knicks | 61c | 2,381$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Heat | 39c | 2,376$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.64 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Heat | 35c | 2,053$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.8 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 2,048$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Knicks | 74c | 2,036$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.02 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…eea8backed Heat | 33c | 2,030$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…2047backed Heat | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Knicksthis page
- Heat vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Heat vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.