TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab19…4876backed No31c29,503$9,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,452.52133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes67c25,000$16,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,75027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No33c24,283$8,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,269.723650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c24,063$8,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,704.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes69c23,234$16,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,055.3130031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No32c20,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,599.9925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes69c19,650$13,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,558.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+104.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes59c11,880$7,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,067.636123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No43c9,320$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,322.567354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c8,322$4,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.9735942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c8,250$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No30c6,020$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,214.1721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes72c5,854$4,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,225.261822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes68c5,084$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.1674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No31c4,548$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.416331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No40c4,500$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.223951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No61c4,111$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.633633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked No31c3,300$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2771040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c3,008$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.731,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No31c2,937$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.2931945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes29c2,747$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.648949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No32c2,563$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.7416835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c2,437$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.8412525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No31c2,298$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked No32c2,200$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes70c2,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No31c2,050$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41460511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes49c2,048$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.763432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c3…0964backed No32c2,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+79.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Yes68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c1,999$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.5928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes60c1,791$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No55c1,655$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.018538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes68c1,525$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.7717345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes70c1,423$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes68c1,400$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95233149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c1,393$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.583,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes46c1,382$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.3517048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9518…c9e3backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…293abacked Yes5c1,260$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2e…1216backed Yes46c1,160$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes15c1,116$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes51c1,104$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3434630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes68c1,047$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.5421140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes68c1,000$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.241250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No27c1,000$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3721016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b6…3f65backed No33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7303161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dad…805abacked Yes68c999.96$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No27c999.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.974027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes38c977.18$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes74c970.95$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.757648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes69c946.04$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.771020%2 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes71c896.09$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.73450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes51c879.24$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.412520%5 W · 20 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes70c878.24$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes37c832.97$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.111855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes41c814$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.391,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes70c785.71$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x981b…8db2backed Yes43c768.84$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.587135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc0…895dbacked Yes45c723.73$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.682532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98b9…c9c8backed Yes14c717.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes39c710.26$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27716225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes40c707.43$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49017727.7%49 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes36c691.78$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.81040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No30c676.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.8911444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked No33c672.73$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.732638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes51c671$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4318641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes69c652.17$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…e630backed Yes61c640.03$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.711450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No31c629.92$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.656056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dde…af75backed Yes12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e2…bd6dbacked No32c614.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa717…15f2backed Yes67c608.79$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes47c597.15$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.661216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes69c529.49$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b4…fb62backed Yes75c505.33$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No25c465.7$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2842352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes70c460.74$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.527864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes47c427.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.33540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes69c418.96$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.083148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes69c413.04$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Yes74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Yes74c405.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1644…fa7abacked Yes45c402.56$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No31c400$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2762060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes66c399.98$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9314040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Yes69c378.38$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No27c375$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7520036%72 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.